{"product_id":"the-black-swan-the-impact-of-the-highly-improbable","title":"The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable","description":"\u003cp\u003eWhat have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', \"The Black Swan\" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"The BookSpot","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":67801730842760,"sku":"89519","price":251.0,"currency_code":"EGP","in_stock":true}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0753\/5421\/0440\/files\/9780141034591.jpg?v=1793447119","url":"https:\/\/bookspotonline.com\/products\/the-black-swan-the-impact-of-the-highly-improbable","provider":"The BookSpot","version":"1.0","type":"link"}